Exit polls project centre-left win in Sweden election

politicsSep 13, 202631635

SVT and TV4 exit poll projection at 21.45 local time, using results from about 10% of districts, shows the centre-left opposition narrowly ahead with 51.3% to 46.8% for the rightwing bloc. Party shares in the projection: Social Democrats 27.6%, Moderates 20.0%, Sweden Democrats 17.5%, Left Party 8.2%, Centre Party 7.1%, Christian Democrats 6.3%, Green Party 6.2%, Liberals 5.5%. If confirmed, the outcome would give the opposition bloc 175 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag and the incumbent government 174 seats, a one-seat margin. The projection represents a worse-than-expected night for the Sweden Democrats, whose 17.5% is lower than recent forecasts. The result remains subject to further counting and official tallies before a final government formation can proceed.

Naomi Smith

@pimlicat.bsky.social

Centre left gvt for Sweden as far right under performs 🎉 www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

13526d ago

Jane5

Phew! Well done Sweden!! 🥳🎉 This is a worrying trend though:

Per Ahlberg2

As the count progresses, the predicted difference between the blocks is shrinking, now too close to call. BUT Sverigedmokraterna have definitely lost a lot of support, about 3 percentage points from last time, so even if there isn't a change of government they will have less leverage going forward.

Luke LeBrun

@lukelebrun.ca

A Social Democrat-led coalition is currently projected to retake power in Sweden while the ascendant far-right Sweden Democrats are seeing dropping support

11326d ago

Luke LeBrun45

(It looks like the left-wing bloc is only ahead by one seat now tho, so it could be close. Either way, the right-wing parties are not having a good night)

Restskattekommisjonen4

In fact, it's changing. Right now, it’s a dead heat between the Right and Left. It's a thriller.

Occasional Transpo1

Yeah it's definitely too close to call. It's like 49 to 51. 😂

Quoting this

Charles Smith6

This is great. But the centre left needs to be pushed and held accountable if it drifts to the right.

Joe Noonan

@joenoonan.se

With half the votes in the Swedish election is much closer than the election polls suggested. Far right Sweden Democrats still projected to drop 3 pts. Exit polls underestimated The Moderates.

5226d ago

Quoting this

✨ Sparkle Monica ✨2

Another fun fact about me is I know exactly two Swedish people and one is Black and so my understanding of the country is deeply misshapen. I hear “Sweden” and immediately think of my 2016-17 roommate who was not an Aryan princess, but who WAS constantly harassed by the cops.

Benjamin Husstad-Nedberg

@factforce.bsky.social

#Sweden will probably change government after today's election, but it will not change the country's strong support for #Ukraine. @matsengstrom.bsky.social @ecfr.eu

4726d ago

Esheru

@esherukweku.bsky.social

“Sweden exit poll: Left on course for election win in blow to far right” - Så jäkla najs Sverige! www.politico.eu/article/swed...

3726d ago

Mathieu M.J.E. Rebeaud

@chercheurjuteux.com

Sweden election: exit polls project centre-left government and bad night for the far-right Bon, la Suède a l'air d'avoir infligé un camouflet à l'extrême droite et voté pour le centre gauche. www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

2926d ago

mimij9.bsky.social

@mimij9.bsky.social

General Election Sweden Breaking news Exit poll suggest comfortable win for opposition parties and worse-than-expected result for far-right Sweden Democrats Fantastic 👏👏👏

3326d ago

🦋💔🇺🇸SEB🇺🇸💔🦋

@sebastiangarof5.bsky.social

Sweden is celebrating centre-left parties lead by just a single seat. 🔄 www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...

2326d ago

Lisa O’Carroll

@lisaocarroll.bsky.social

Revised projections put one seat between left and right alliances Follow live here special Europe live blog with @jakubkrupa.bsky.social in Stockholm www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

1926d ago

Zach

@thrustwr.bsky.social

Too busy watching the Sweden general election like a hawk to care wtf going on in Texas. The Andersson bloc has to make it in order for me to maintain my sanity on Nordic politics.

2326d ago

Strandschaf

@strandschaf.bsky.social

Thankfully Sweden seems to have decided for democracy and against the Sweden "Democrats". I hope that the result is as the exit poll.

1026d ago

Luke Turner

@luketurner.bsky.social

Potential positive news from my nation-in-law, with Nazi-roots Sweden Democrats' alliance taking a kicking. The Guardian is doing a good English language update (suggesting there might have been 'block the fash' tactical voting, which hopefully might work here) www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

1526d ago

Hans E. Offerdal

@hofferdal.bsky.social

More than 60% of the votes are in, in the election in Sweden. Way to early to say who will/can form a government. No clear majority. However, the good news is that the far-right seems to have lost support across whole of Sweden!

726d ago

Jakub Krupa

@jakubkrupa.bsky.social

Swedish opposition left-leaning parties held a lead of just a single seat on Monday morning, with 91% votes counted, as the result remained too close to call the election. @theguardian.com coverage resumes Monday morning. Summary of where we are at 2am local: www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

626d ago

Nordic News

@nordicnews.bsky.social

Sweden general election Social Democrats lead after 15% of the ballots counted Source: SVT #val #sweden

626d ago

3 sources

theguardian.comSweden election: exit polls project centre-left government and bad night for the far-right – live | Sweden | The Guardian france24.comSweden Election Aftermath: A hard night for the hard right?dailynorthern.comOpposition leads Tidö parties by 4.5 points in SVT exit poll

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Exit polls project centre-left win in Sweden election

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