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UK Inflation Falls to 2.6% in June

financeJul 22, 202615258

The UK consumer prices index rose 2.6% in the 12 months to June 2026, down from 2.8% in May and below economists' 2.7% forecast. The Office for National Statistics credited falling fuel prices, especially diesel, plus month-on-month declines in clothing and food for the weaker reading. Grant Fitzner, the ONS chief economist, said food falls were driven by items including chocolate, margarine and beef and that clothing fell with bigger summer-sale discounts. Prime Minister Andy Burnham celebrated the figure as a lift for his cost-of-living plans after announcing a VAT cut on electricity bills and a £2 cap on bus fares from January; Chancellor John Healey said the drop was "news families want to hear". Shadow chancellor Mel Stride blamed Labour’s tax and borrowing decisions for inflation remaining above the Bank of England target. Several members of the Bank of England monetary policy committee have voiced concern about inflation staying above 2 percent and a recent rise in Brent crude above $90 a barrel due to Middle East tensions could push energy prices and inflation back up, complicating the outlook for interest rates currently at 3.75%.

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