Report: Super El Niño could cause 450,000 extra deaths in six months
Nearly half a million deaths in the next six months expected from a climate crisis-powered super-El Niño, according to the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab.
State of Emergency in California.
So - once again - it looks like some of the people who’ve done least to create man-made climate change will pay the heaviest price. El Niño is turbo charged by rising global temperatures.
Almost no mention anywhere that the 1877/78 El Niño killed ~50 million people, over 3% of the world population at the time. Acknowledging how much better prepared the world would be now, it's still probable that the number this time will be well above that 0.5 million.
And that’s only the heat deaths. Famine and flooding and wildfires could add millions to the death toll globally.
Twice the fatalities of the 2004 tsunami, or getting on for 2,000 Lockerbies.
We're witnessing the beginning of a major self-inflicted extinction event aren't we? Better get some more beer in I reckon. 😳
Husk nu at få bestilt den solferie! Og skiferien!
I hope for significantly less, but anticipate far, far worse.
As people are facing devastating effects of climate change, Trump is kicking 760,000 Affordable Care Act enrollees off of public healthcare exchanges removing their health insurance coverage www.npr.org/2026/09/23/g...
Yesterday on the News at 10 this ran behind two separate items on Charles Spencer
We have pushed way past the planetary red lines for a liveable future. Meanwhile governments and the oil giants continue to drive fossil fuel expansion. This is on us and we need to act now. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
It’s as though the power brokers don’t realize that if we don’t have a healthy planet we won’t have anything. It’s shocking to me that we continue to race toward the cliff of self-annihilation. I’ve been told many times that innovation would be too expensive, as though this is solely about money.
Are you accepting refugees from the Mad King’s land?
It’s vital to avoid doomerism, though. Whatever red lines we’ve passed, there are always actions we can take to make things better (or at least less bad) 🌎🌍🌏
The majority of politicians everywhere seem more concerned about their own seat. In general do not have planning or executing capabilities neither are they able to look beyond their own little box. It is on us, for lack of better candidates the wrong people are holding the reins.
So many of us living safe in our own country don’t realize or believe that this will happen here. We think we’ve nothing to worry about. A little flooding here, a tornado there, a hurricane on it’s way…we’ll get through and survive. But at some point we won’t be able to survive, rebuild & live on.
Buying and producing local would help reduce the carbon footprint for products that have a lot of miles on them. Globilization helped speed up global warming in my opinion. Don't know if there is the will to change this large scale.
This year's super El Niño is projected to cause 450,000 deaths globally in the next six months. Researchers have called it a 'postcard from our future'. Extreme weather will increasingly affect communities everywhere, including across the UK. #GAAdaptation
Preparing communities in the UK for the impact of climate change requires co-ordination across the political spectrum. Our essay collection 'How to get Britain climate ready' reflects that, with voices from across the political divide providing views from their local areas on the need to adapt.
We keep pounding the drum but so many are unwilling or unable to listen. We should have taken action on this issue years ago.
hard to click "like" on this one. But its sadly true.
Coolest summer of the next 100 years
Welcome to The Malthusian Trap. Built by Growth. Driven by Greed. Version 8: The trap is already doing damage. This is no longer a warning about what may happen. It is an analysis of what has already begun.
You can bet every leader has a personal plan. Guess what? It doesn’t include you.
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next 6 months. Current El Niño broke the highest temperature ever recorded several months before its expected peak. El Niños are natural climate events but may be made worse by global heating. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Preventable. This was all preventable.
The truth is that the world has never experienced an El Nino of anything like this strength, so we really have no idea just how catastrophic its impacts and consequences will be My guess is that the number of casualties will be far higher than this www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Also, the next 6 months isn’t the dangerous period. Harvests of 2024 and 2025 were ok. Harvests of 2026 are a disaster. Harvests of 2027 are likely to be a total catastrophe. The delayed famine in 2028 will likely be the peak danger of this El Niño (which would probably end before summer 2027).
From the study itself: "We expect all of these numbers to grow even higher, particularly as impacts such as higher-than-average temperatures and heat-related deaths will linger into June and July." impactlab.org/research/451...
If only we could sacrifice some oil major C-Level execs to appease the climate gods.
450,000-6,000,000,000? From 2023: "human activity is pushing Earth into a climate crisis that could threaten the lives of up to 6 billion people" www.forbes.com/sites/davidr...
Looks like we're well on course for that estimated 2 to #4BillionDeaths by 2050. Or was that by 2030? It's so hard to keep up with oncoming man-made disasters. #4BD
“This is such a large number that it can be numbing, but it is made up of parents and children, grandparents and neighbors, people going to work, caring for families, and living their lives.” www.commondreams.org/news/super-e...
This is just the beginning. There is no Planet B. The oil and gas companies are destroying Earth!
Most of the prople are living in countries that contributed little to no clinate change. This is deeply shameful.
Any American: “ Why don’t they just get air con?” 🙄
This number doesn’t include estimates for domestic or wildlife .
I feel like they're only counting direct deaths from the weather, not the giant famine that's coming from the combination of this + 50% of the world's fertilizer having now sat in one place for 7 months because of the war of aggression against Iran.
And the forecast is only for the next six months.
Scientists now estimate this El Niño could cause 450,000 additional deaths in just six months. We're no longer debating whether climate change will become dangerous. We're debating how many people we're willing to let die before changing an economic system that demands endless growth.
All of them. They're willing to let the species go extinct rather than give up their societal positions
"as long as there are robots to do the labor... "
We're going to be experiencing an influx of climate refugees who'll surely be propagandized as evil by the fascists. Massive destruction of infrastructure, land and civilizations, natural habitats will become inhospitable such as the ocean rising in acidity. It's just going to get worse.