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Retail sales fall 0.6% in July as tax-refund boost fades

financeAug 14, 202617462

The Commerce Department reported retail sales fell 0.6% in July, the largest monthly decline since May 2025, after a revised 0.2% gain in June. Economists had been expecting a small increase; the pullback followed earlier spending bumps in April and May tied to larger-than-usual government tax refunds and one-time events such as the World Cup and Amazon Prime Day. Sales at gas stations dropped 0.9% in July, helping push overall unadjusted retail receipts lower even as gas prices rose to an average $4.08 per gallon, up from $3.85 a month earlier and 92 cents above last year, according to AAA. Motor vehicle and parts dealers saw a 1.8% decline after a 1.9% increase in June, and online sales fell 2.2% following late-June Prime Day timing; electronics and appliance sales slipped 0.5%. The retail control group used to calculate GDP fell 0.4%, a drag on third-quarter growth estimates. The weak report, together with softer-than-expected jobs data last week and a slide in the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, has led many forecasters to trim growth projections for July, September. Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, said July retail sales showed "signs of fatigue" among American consumers.

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