NOAA forecasts below‑average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season
newsMay 21, 202657339
NOAA released its 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast projecting 8 to 14 named storms, 3 to 6 hurricanes, and 1 to 3 major hurricanes. Forecasters tied the below-average outlook to a strengthening El Niño, which increases Atlantic wind shear and tends to suppress storm development. NOAA emphasized that totals do not eliminate risk, noting Texas and the Gulf Coast can still face significant impacts from a single powerful storm. The forecast matters because fewer storms does not reduce the need for preparedness by coastal communities and emergency planners ahead of summer.